Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSMC)
Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Price Forecast for 2026
Disclaimer: Price targets are based on current financial data and market conditions which can change anytime. Company financial position may also change, so regularly monitor your investments and stay updated with company news and performance.
1. Stock Price Forecast 2026
| Scenario | Price Target (USD) |
|---|---|
| Base Case | $415 - $445 |
| Optimistic Case | $480 - $525 |
| Conservative Case | $375 - $405 |
2. Upside Price Targets
| Target Level | Price (USD) |
|---|---|
| Target 1 | $345 |
| Target 2 | $375 |
| Target 3 | $410 |
| Target 4 | $445 |
| Target 5 | $485 |
3. Downside Price Targets
| Target Level | Price (USD) |
|---|---|
| Target 1 | $285 |
| Target 2 | $265 |
| Target 3 | $245 |
| Target 4 | $225 |
| Target 5 | $205 |
4. Time-based Price Targets
| Timeframe | Price Target (USD) |
|---|---|
| Short Term (1-3 months) | $325 - $355 |
| Medium Term (6-12 months) | $375 - $420 |
| Long Term (1-2 years) | $450 - $520 |
5. Resistance & Support Levels
| Level Type | Price (USD) |
|---|---|
| Resistance 1 | $315 |
| Resistance 2 | $330 |
| Resistance 3 | $350 |
| Support 1 | $295 |
| Support 2 | $280 |
| Support 3 | $265 |
6. Strong Buy Levels (After Breakout)
| Buy Zone | Price Range (USD) |
|---|---|
| Buy Zone 1 | $315 - $325 |
| Buy Zone 2 | $340 - $350 |
| Buy Zone 3 | $370 - $380 |
| Buy Zone 4 | $395 - $405 |
7. Strong Sell Levels
| Sell Zone | Price Range (USD) |
|---|---|
| Sell Zone 1 | $310 - $305 |
| Sell Zone 2 | $295 - $290 |
| Sell Zone 3 | $280 - $275 |
| Sell Zone 4 | $265 - $260 |
8. Profit Booking Levels
| Profit Level | Price Range (USD) |
|---|---|
| Partial Profit | $340 - $350 |
| Significant Profit | $370 - $380 |
| Major Profit | $400 - $415 |
| Full Profit | $430 - $450 |
9. Breakout Price Levels
| Breakout Level | Price (USD) |
|---|---|
| Breakout 1 | $315 |
| Breakout 2 | $330 |
| Breakout 3 | $350 |
| Breakout 4 | $375 |
| Breakout 5 | $400 |
10. Breakdown Price Levels
| Breakdown Level | Price (USD) |
|---|---|
| Breakdown 1 | $295 |
| Breakdown 2 | $280 |
| Breakdown 3 | $265 |
| Breakdown 4 | $250 |
| Breakdown 5 | $235 |
11. Expected Financial Performance 2026
| Financial Indicator | Projected 2026 |
|---|---|
| Revenue (TWD) | 3.65T - 3.95T |
| Net Income (TWD) | 1.45T - 1.65T |
| EPS (TWD) | 55.5 - 62.5 |
| P/E Ratio | 26 - 30 |
| Net Profit Margin | 39.5% - 41.5% |
| Return on Equity | 18% - 21% |
| Free Cash Flow (TWD) | 850B - 950B |
Professional Trading & Investment Guidance
Short-Term Trading Strategy (1-3 months)
- Focus on breakout above $315 for momentum trades toward $340-$355
- Implement stop-loss orders below $295 to limit downside risk
- Monitor earnings announcements and semiconductor sector news
- Consider taking partial profits at $340 and $355 resistance levels
Medium-Term Investment Approach (6-12 months)
- Accumulate positions during pullbacks to $280-$300 support zone
- Target $375-$420 range based on earnings growth trajectory
- Monitor global semiconductor demand cycles and capacity utilization
- Consider dollar-cost averaging when adding to positions
Long-Term Investment Strategy (1-2 years)
- Focus on TSMC's technological leadership and capacity expansion plans
- Target $450-$520 range based on 2026 earnings projections
- Monitor geopolitical factors affecting semiconductor supply chains
- Rebalance portfolio if TSMC becomes overweight due to significant appreciation
Frequently Asked Questions
Can TSMC stock become a multibagger in 2026?
While TSMC has strong growth potential, becoming a true multibagger (5-10x returns) in 2026 would require exceptional circumstances beyond current projections. Our analysis suggests solid returns of 35-70% from current levels are more realistic based on fundamental and technical factors.
What are the short-term targets for TSMC stock?
Our short-term targets (1-3 months) are $325, $340, and $355. These levels represent technical resistance points where traders might consider taking partial profits.
What are the medium-term targets for TSMC stock?
Medium-term targets (6-12 months) are $375, $395, and $420. These projections are based on earnings growth expectations and industry outlook.
What are the long-term targets for TSMC stock?
Long-term targets (1-2 years) are $450, $485, and $520. These levels assume continued execution on technology roadmaps and sustained demand for advanced semiconductors.
At what price should investors buy TSMC stock?
For new positions, consider accumulating between $280-$300 for better risk-reward. For existing holders, add on breakouts above $315 with confirmation. Always use proper position sizing and risk management.
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