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Alibaba Group Holding Price Forecast 2026

Piyush Sharma 0

1. Alibaba Group Stock Price Forecast for 2026

Analysis Firm Price Target (SGD) Upside/Downside Rating
Goldman Sachs 8.50 +58.9% Buy
Morgan Stanley 7.80 +45.8% Overweight
JP Morgan 7.20 +34.6% Neutral
UBS 8.10 +51.4% Buy
Credit Suisse 6.90 +29.0% Outperform

2. Upside Price Targets

Target Level Price (SGD) Upside Potential Time Frame
Bull Case Target 9.20 +72.0% 12-18 months
Optimistic Target 8.50 +58.9% 12 months
Base Case Target 7.80 +45.8% 9-12 months
Conservative Target 7.20 +34.6% 6-9 months
Near-term Target 6.50 +21.5% 3-6 months

3. Downside Price Targets

Risk Level Price (SGD) Downside Risk Scenario
Severe Correction 3.80 -29.0% Market Crash
Bear Case 4.20 -21.5% Regulatory Issues
Moderate Decline 4.60 -14.0% Economic Slowdown
Minor Correction 4.90 -8.4% Profit Booking
Support Break 5.00 -6.5% Technical Breakdown

4. Short, Medium & Long Term Targets

Time Frame Target Price (SGD) Potential Return Probability
Short Term (1-3 months) 6.00 +12.1% High
Short Term (1-3 months) 6.20 +15.9% Medium
Medium Term (6-12 months) 7.00 +30.8% High
Medium Term (6-12 months) 7.50 +40.2% Medium
Long Term (12-24 months) 8.50 +58.9% Medium
Long Term (12-24 months) 10.00 +86.9% Low

5. Resistance & Support Levels

Resistance Levels (SGD) Strength Support Levels (SGD) Strength
6.20 (52-week high) Strong 5.20 Moderate
5.90 Moderate 5.00 Strong
5.75 Weak 4.80 Strong
5.60 Weak-Moderate 4.50 Very Strong
5.50 Moderate 4.00 Very Strong

6. Strong Buy Levels After Breakout

Buy Level (SGD) Type Stop Loss Target
6.25 (Breakout above 52-week high) Momentum 5.80 7.20
5.80 (Consolidation breakout) Breakout 5.50 6.80
5.40 (Current level with tight SL) Value 5.00 6.50
5.00 (Strong support bounce) Support 4.70 6.20
4.80 (Major support) Deep Value 4.50 6.00

7. Strong Sell Levels

Sell Level (SGD) Type Stop Loss Target
6.20 (52-week high rejection) Resistance 6.40 5.50
5.90 (Failed breakout) Breakdown 6.10 5.20
5.50 (Break below support) Breakdown 5.70 4.90
5.00 (Major support break) Breakdown 5.20 4.50
4.80 (Trend reversal) Momentum 5.00 4.20

8. Profit Booking Levels

Price Level (SGD) Booking % Reason Re-entry Level
6.20 20-30% 52-week high resistance 5.80
6.50 30-40% Technical overbought 6.00
7.00 40-50% Strong resistance zone 6.40
7.50 50-60% Valuation peak 6.80
8.00 60-70% Overvaluation territory 7.20

9. Breakout Price Levels

Breakout Level (SGD) Type Target Probability
5.60 Immediate resistance 6.00 High
5.80 Consolidation breakout 6.50 Medium
6.20 52-week high breakout 7.00 Medium
6.50 Psychological level 7.50 Low-Medium
7.00 Major resistance 8.00 Low

10. Breakdown Price Levels

Breakdown Level (SGD) Type Target Probability
5.20 Immediate support 5.00 Medium
5.00 Strong support 4.70 High
4.80 Major support 4.50 Medium
4.50 Critical support 4.00 Low-Medium
4.00 Psychological level 3.50 Low

11. Expected Financial Performance for 2026

Metric 2026 Projection Growth vs 2024 Industry Comparison
Revenue (USD) 158.2B +18.5% Above Average
Net Income (USD) 22.8B +25.3% Above Average
EPS (USD) 8.45 +24.8% Strong
EBITDA (USD) 31.5B +20.7% Above Average
Net Profit Margin 14.4% +1.2% Improving
P/E Ratio 14.2 Reasonable Undervalued

12. Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Analysis Type Key Points Outlook Strength
Technical Analysis
  • Trading near 52-week high resistance
  • Strong uptrend from 2.74 low
  • RSI at 62 (neutral-bullish)
  • Volume pattern supportive
Bullish Medium-Strong
Fundamental Analysis
  • Cloud computing growth accelerating
  • E-commerce market share stable
  • Regulatory pressures easing
  • International expansion ongoing
Bullish Strong

Pro Tips for Traders & Investors

Short-Term Trading (1-3 months)

For short-term traders, focus on the 5.20-6.20 range. Buy near support at 5.20-5.40 with stop loss at 5.00. Target 6.00-6.20 for partial profit booking. The stock shows good momentum but faces resistance at the 52-week high.

Medium-Term Investing (6-12 months)

Medium-term investors should accumulate on dips below 5.50. The 7.00-7.50 target range is achievable if the stock breaks above 6.20 resistance. Maintain core positions with 20-30% profit booking at resistance levels.

Long-Term Investing (12+ months)

Long-term investors should view any price below 6.00 as accumulation opportunity. The fundamental story remains strong with cloud computing growth and international expansion. Target 8.50-10.00 by 2026, representing 60-90% upside potential.

Can Alibaba Be a Multibagger in 2026?

While Alibaba has strong fundamentals and growth prospects, calling it a potential multibagger (3-5x returns) by 2026 might be optimistic given its current large market cap. However, 70-100% returns are achievable if execution remains strong and regulatory environment improves. The stock presents a solid opportunity for market-beating returns rather than traditional multibagger potential.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the short term targets for Alibaba stock?
Short term targets (1-3 months) are 6.00-6.20 SGD, representing 12-16% upside from current levels. These targets are based on technical analysis and near-term momentum.
What are the medium term targets for Alibaba stock?
Medium term targets (6-12 months) range from 7.00-7.50 SGD, representing 31-40% potential upside. These are based on both technical breakouts and fundamental improvements.
What are the long term targets for Alibaba stock?
Long term targets (12-24 months) range from 8.50-10.00 SGD, representing 59-87% potential upside. These targets depend on successful execution of growth initiatives and favorable market conditions.
At what price should investors buy Alibaba stock?
Current levels around 5.35 SGD offer good entry for long-term investors. For better risk-reward, consider scaling in between 5.00-5.50 SGD. Always use appropriate position sizing and stop losses.
What is the downside risk for Alibaba stock?
Downside risk includes potential decline to 4.50-5.00 SGD range (16-29% downside) in adverse scenarios. Strong support exists at 5.00 SGD which should hold in normal market conditions.
Is Alibaba stock undervalued at current prices?
With a P/E of around 14 based on 2026 estimates, Alibaba appears reasonably valued to slightly undervalued compared to historical averages and global peers, providing margin of safety for investors.
What are the key catalysts for Alibaba stock?
Key catalysts include: Cloud computing growth acceleration, international e-commerce expansion, regulatory normalization, share buybacks, and potential spin-offs of business units.

Disclaimer

Important: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice, recommendation, or endorsement to buy or sell any securities. The information presented is based on technical analysis, fundamental research, and market data available at the time of writing, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed.

Stock trading and investing carry substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any investment decisions.

The price targets, analysis, and projections are estimates based on certain assumptions that may not materialize. Actual results may differ significantly. The author and Multibagger Stock Ideas disclaim any liability for losses incurred based on information contained in this analysis.

Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Securities mentioned may be subject to rapid price fluctuations. International investments involve additional risks including currency fluctuations and political instability.


Alibaba HBBD stock analysis with 2026 price targets, resistance/support levels, and trading strategy.



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Piyush Sharma

Qualifications: MBA (India), MBA (Australia), Master of Professional Accounting (Australia).

18+ years in the Indian stock market and running this website for 15+ years. Founder of PS International Group and Hamarijeet.com — popular for study-visa guidance, career help, government schemes, jobs and digital product updates.

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