Ather Energy IPO: Overhyped or Undervalued? What Should Investors Do Now?
Ather Energy, a
prominent name in India’s electric vehicle (EV) space, recently concluded its
much-anticipated Initial Public Offering (IPO), raising a total of Rs 2,981
crore. The IPO was a blend of a fresh issue worth Rs 2,626 crore and an
offer-for-sale (OFS) component of Rs 354.76 crore. Despite being in a
high-growth and future-ready sector, the response to Ather’s IPO was mixed —
hinting at concerns over the company’s valuation and prospects post-listing.
The IPO was subscribed 1.43 times overall, with retail
investors leading the charge. The retail portion saw a healthy subscription of
1.78 times, reflecting the enthusiasm of small investors who are often drawn to
well-known consumer-facing brands. The Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs)
followed closely behind, subscribing 1.70 times. However, the Non-Institutional
Investors (NIIs) — typically high-net-worth individuals and seasoned traders —
showed restraint, subscribing just 66% of their allocated quota. This disparity
in investor confidence might be a red flag for some.
The price band was fixed between Rs 304 and Rs 321 per
share, positioning Ather Energy at a relatively steep valuation. This pricing
strategy suggests that the company aimed to capitalize heavily on the EV hype,
perhaps leaving little room for immediate upside post-listing.
Our View on Ather Energy:
Overvaluation Concerns
While there's no doubt that Ather Energy is part of an exciting and futuristic sector, the
IPO's pricing leaves much to be desired. From a valuation standpoint, it
appears the company has left little on the table for new investors. This
aggressive pricing, despite a solid brand and promising sector outlook, may
dampen short-term performance of the stock, especially if broader market
sentiments turn negative.
What Should Investors and Traders Do After Listing?
For Existing Allottees:
If the stock lists at a premium, investors should book
profits on every rise. The overvaluation risk combined with market volatility
could make sharp corrections likely.
If the listing is below issue price, it could lead to a
significant loss. In such a scenario, investors may consider holding with a
strict stop-loss or exiting on any small bounce.
For Traders:
Expect initial volatility. The stock may witness speculative
moves due to its brand recognition and sectoral buzz.
Use rallies or intraday spikes as selling opportunities
rather than fresh entry points.
For New Investors:
Avoid fresh buying at higher levels. Wait for a meaningful
correction, potentially in the 15-25% range from the IPO price, before
considering any long-term position.
Monitor quarterly performance and margin improvements before
entering the stock for long-term gains.
Expected Price Targets of Ather energy:
Based on current valuations, sector trends, and the IPO
response:
Near-term target (1-3 months): Rs 290 – Rs 310 (volatile
with downside risk)
Medium-term target (6-12 months): Rs 270 – Rs 300 (unless
company delivers stronger-than-expected earnings)
Long-term potential: Depends heavily on expansion,
profitability, and EV adoption rates, but safer entry points will likely emerge
below Rs 280 per share.
Final Call on Ather
energy stock:
Ather Energy is undoubtedly a strong brand in a booming sector, but valuation discipline is key. With the IPO priced aggressively, traders and investors should adopt a cautious stance. Use any rally as a profit-booking opportunity, and wait for a significant correction before considering fresh entries. In the world of IPOs, timing and pricing are everything, and Ather’s debut seems to be a classic case of “great company, expensive stock.”
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